Pakistan’s diabetes crisis

In a country where diabetes silently claims over 230,000 lives each year and gestational hyperglycemia affects one in five live births, the government’s newly announced US$6.8 million initiative under the Prime Minister’s Programme for the Prevention and Control of Diabetes is a long-overdue but modest attempt to confront an escalating epidemic.
With millions already living undiagnosed and untreated, and unhealthy lifestyles fueling the rapid spread of Type 2 diabetes, this initiative must do far more than scratch the surface. Commencing its preliminary phase within the federal precincts, the scheme intends to progressively permeate provincial territories from the second annum forward. Its overarching ambition is to encompass nearly 33 million citizens through a triangulation of diagnostics, early detection, and therapeutic management—anchored in foundational health networks, mobilization of lady health workers, and sweeping public cognizance campaigns.
Nonetheless, this governmental maneuver, while symbolically salient, appears starkly diminutive against the daunting breadth of the diabetic upheaval engulfing Pakistan. The nation currently ranks among the uppermost triad of states exhibiting the most virulent expansion of diabetes. Empirical inquiries project that between 28 to 33 percent of urban denizens are beleaguered by this metabolic malady—further exacerbated by a staggering 27 percent whose conditions remain veiled in medical obscurity.
National expenditures tethered to diabetic care have witnessed a marginal escalation, leaping from US$2.6 billion to US$2.7 billion within a four-year interlude. The resultant fiscal drag—estimated at an eye-watering Rs760 billion—continues to strain Pakistan’s healthcare fabric and macroeconomic sinews, as underscored by the International Diabetes Federation’s (IDF) 2025 Atlas.
This latest compendium unveils a harrowing statistic: Pakistan is now domicile to 34.5 million adults (aged 20 to 79) ensnared by diabetes, trailing only China, India, and the United States in this somber hierarchy. Projections portend a grim crescendo, with cases forecasted to nearly double—ballooning to an apocalyptic 70.2 million by 2050, should preemptive frameworks falter.
Amid this mounting crisis, Pakistan’s per capita outlay on diabetes languishes near the nadir of global indices—standing at a meager US$79 per individual per annum. This parsimonious commitment results in a yawning chasm in accessible treatment, with untold numbers of sufferers languishing without care—many facing fiscal ruin from the exigencies of prolonged medical intervention.
The IDF dossier adds further disquiet: Pakistan bears the planet’s most elevated age-adjusted diabetes prevalence rate—an alarming 31.4 percent, eclipsing the global norm by a stark margin. A worrisome subset—approximately 26.9 percent, or nearly 9.3 million individuals—remain medically uncharted, paving the path for catastrophic complications such as myocardial infarctions, nephritic decline, limb amputations, and irreversible blindness.
Diabetes claims nearly 230,000 lives annually in Pakistan—a staggering death toll that underscores the disease’s unrelenting grip on the nation’s health landscape. The latest findings further reveal a deeply unsettling trend: one in every five live births is now impacted by gestational hyperglycemia, heralding enduring health jeopardy for both mothers and their newborns.
The financial framework proposed—jointly underwritten by the federal and provincial echelons—merely grazes the surface of what is imperative for an authentic recalibration of the country’s diabetic response. Funding, in its current guise, falls woefully short of what is required to revamp preventative strategies, bolster educational outreach, ensure access to essential pharmacotherapy, and enable sustainable, long-term disease stewardship.
Yet, there’s a faint glimmer of optimism. The programme ambitiously envelops the majority of the at-risk population, signaling that those at the helm are beginning to grasp the full magnitude of the crisis. This broad-based inclusion dovetails with expert counsel urging integration of diabetes countermeasures within the scaffolding of primary care services—a pragmatic move toward scalable impact.
Nevertheless, the blueprint will falter without a hard reckoning with the insidious catalysts behind the Type 2 diabetes explosion: rampant ingestion of industrially adulterated edibles, unrelenting sugar-laden drinks, and lifestyles starved of physical exertion. What emerges is a stealthy public health siege, breeding grave afflictions—from cardiac breakdowns and renal collapse to chronic infirmity. Containment demands more than prescriptions; it requires a tectonic shift in public health policy: nationwide screening campaigns, aggressive nutritional education, and stringent curbs on toxic consumables. These must not be footnotes, but the nucleus of the government’s evolving diabetes doctrine.
Yet, the backdrop remains grim. A recent 16 percent scalpel slash to the federal health development budget effectively amputates the state’s ability to erect vital health infrastructure or galvanize robust preventive systems. Such austerity belies the urgency of the threat and risks sabotaging even well-intentioned interventions.
Commendable though the US$6.8 million initiative may be, its fate hinges on more than good intentions. It demands uninterrupted capital flow, synergy across bureaucratic and sectoral silos, and a systemic metamorphosis in how the nation views non-communicable diseases. To meaningfully curb the diabetic deluge—and simultaneously grapple with other persistent scourges like hepatitis, polio, and tuberculosis—Pakistan’s leadership must escalate its resource commitment and enshrine universal, equitable access to screening and treatment.
Only a resolute, all-encompassing campaign, armed with foresight and fortitude, can transform this embryonic programme into a landmark stride toward national health justice.
While the launch of the national diabetes programme marks a step in the right direction, it is only the beginning of a far more arduous journey. The current funding and fragmented policy approach are insufficient to stem the rising tide of non-communicable diseases that threaten to overwhelm Pakistan’s healthcare system. To truly deliver health equity and lasting impact, the government must invest boldly, legislate strategically, and act decisively—transforming this modest programme into a cornerstone of a resilient and inclusive public health future.